The Daily Lob

Archive

Every edition, newest first. Each brief is compiled before play, and each is scored in the following day's edition against what actually happened.

EditionHeadline
37Sunday, 18 October 2026
ATP
Seven first-round matches across three indoor events, Monday and Tuesday.7 items
36Thursday, 15 October 2026
MLB + NFL + NHL + ATP
NLCS Game 4 with Milwaukee one win from the World Series, Seattle at Denver on Thursday night, the hockey slate, and two Shanghai quarterfinals overnight.11 items
35Wednesday, 14 October 2026
MLB + NHL + ATP
A short day: NLCS Game 3, two hockey games where every team played last night, and two Shanghai quarterfinals overnight.5 items
34Tuesday, 13 October 2026
MLB + NHL + ATP
ALCS Game 2, four hockey games chosen for their goalies, and the bottom half of the last sixteen in Shanghai overnight.9 items
33Monday, 12 October 2026
MLB + NHL + NFL + ATP
Two playoff baseball games, two hockey games where the goalie is the story, the Monday night football game, and four Shanghai matches that start while you sleep.9 items
32Sunday, 11 October 2026
ATP + NFL + MLB
Five matches from the third round in Shanghai overnight, then four football games, and tonight the best pitching matchup of the year opens the NLCS.10 items
31Thursday, 1 October 2026
MLB + NHL + ATP
A winner-takes-all baseball game, three hockey games where our numbers and the bookmakers disagree, and five matches in Tokyo and Beijing.9 items
30Wednesday, 30 September 2026
MLB + NHL + ATP
Four elimination games, three hockey games and the first hard-court cards of the Asian swing.10 items
29Tuesday, 29 September 2026
MLB + NHL
Four Wild Card openers and the first night of hockey.7 items
28Sunday, 27 September 2026
NFL
Five games where the ratings and the spread disagree, widest first.5 items
27Friday, 25 September 2026
MLB + NFL
One starter on tonight's board has been carried by a run and a half, and the market has not noticed.6 items
26Thursday, 24 September 2026
MLB + NFL
Three night games where the first-five price can be checked against the contact quality, and the football game.4 items
25Sunday, 20 September 2026
NFL · Week 2 · designations in
Three starting quarterbacks were ruled out during the week and fourteen of fifteen lines did not move. The market had it all priced before Wednesday night.8 items
24Friday, 18 September 2026
NFL · Week 2
Two public models disagree with each other by more than either disagrees with the market. Seven of fifteen games get no card at all.8 items
23Wednesday, 16 September 2026
MLB · six of eleven games
Merrill Kelly has a 4.97 ERA and a 6.61 xERA across 152 innings — and Arizona is favoured because of the first number.6 items
22Monday, 7 September 2026
US Open · fourth round
Both women on card 02 are carrying a lower-leg tendon injury. Only one of them has been tested on it.6 items
21Sunday, 6 September 2026
US Open · fourth round
The market calls Kalinskaya v Navarro a coin toss. The model makes it 65-35 — the widest disagreement this page has printed.5 items
20Saturday, 5 September 2026
US Open · third round
Backing every disagreement between the model and the market, at the real prices, would have returned minus 2.9% across eighty-three bets.8 items
19Friday, 4 September 2026
US Open · third round
Denis Shapovalov has beaten Ben Shelton four times out of four. He is a four-to-one underdog tonight.7 items
18Thursday, 3 September 2026
US Open · second round
A coin toss where the model and the market disagree by sixteen points — and it rests on the same number that got this page wrong on Sunday.10 items
17Wednesday, 2 September 2026
US Open · first and second rounds
Rain took five first rounds off the board on Tuesday. Two of them are on this page, a day late — including the one this brief had flagged and then had to un-flag.10 items
16Tuesday, 1 September 2026
US Open · first round
Ignacio Buse won a title on Saturday and Arthur Fery lost that final. Three days later both are on this card — and the flag that says to worry about them has just gone two-for-three the wrong way.9 items
15Monday, 31 August 2026
US Open · first round
Diane Parry won the first title of her career on Saturday. She is on court in New York on Monday, and the market has made her a favourite.10 items
14Sunday, 30 August 2026
US Open · first round
Ten matches were commissioned for the first day of the US Open. Three could be sourced. The other seven are named, with the reason each one failed.3 items
13Friday, 28 August 2026
Winston-Salem SF · Monterrey SF
James Duckworth walked off court after midnight. He is 34, and he plays again in eighteen hours.4 items
12Thursday, 27 August 2026
Winston-Salem QF · Monterrey QF · US Open qualifying
Grigor Dimitrov, once world No. 3, is one win from a US Open main draw — and he is playing qualifying to get there.9 items
11Wednesday, 26 August 2026
Winston-Salem R16 · Monterrey R2
Three matches where the model and the market disagree about the winner — the most on one card yet.9 items
10Tuesday, 25 August 2026
Winston-Salem · Second round
The first hand-picked card — and the ratings file finally rebuilt, two weeks late.9 items
09Monday, 24 August 2026
Winston-Salem · First and second rounds
Half the card has no model line at all — and the closest price the brief has ever printed is between a 782 and a 376.6 items
08Sunday, 23 August 2026
Cincinnati finals · Winston-Salem R1
Two tournaments for the first time — and on a Winston-Salem first-rounder the model and the market are twenty-five points apart.8 items
07Saturday, 22 August 2026
Cincinnati · Semifinals
Elo's first day scored: closer than the market on three of four, including the one where it flipped the favourite.4 items
06Friday, 21 August 2026
Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Elo joins the brief — and on the closest match of the four, the model and the market disagree about who is favourite.4 items
05Thursday, 20 August 2026
Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Quarterfinal day, and the smallest card yet — four matches, led by a rematch of the Toronto final seven days on.4 items
04Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Cincinnati · Round of 16
Yesterday's brief scored: the favourite won three of eight. Today, the ten-match cap bites for the first time.10 items
03Tuesday, 18 August 2026
Cincinnati · Third Round
Seven of sixteen cut as lopsided; Nakashima arrives on eleven matches in thirty days against a Medvedev who has played two.9 items
02Monday, 17 August 2026
Cincinnati · Third Round
An all-French coin-flip opens the card; Tirante arrives off beating Djokovic.10 items
01Thursday, 13 August 2026
Cincinnati R1 · Canadian Open finals
Both Canadian Open finals, plus the full Cincinnati first round — every match, before the selection rules existed. Original format26 items
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