:root{
  color-scheme: light;
  --page:#f7f6f3; --surface:#fffefc; --ink:#12110f; --ink2:#4a4844; --muted:#8a877f;
  --rule:#e3e1d9; --rule2:#c9c7bd; --hair:rgba(18,17,15,.10);
  --p1:#2a78d6; --p2:#eb6834; --good:#006300;
  --warnbg:rgba(250,178,25,.13); --warnink:#7a5200;
  --chip:#efeee9; --live:rgba(42,120,214,.09);
}
@media (prefers-color-scheme:dark){:root{
  color-scheme: dark;
  --page:#0e0e0d; --surface:#191918; --ink:#ffffff; --ink2:#c6c4bb; --muted:#8a877f;
  --rule:#2b2b28; --rule2:#3d3d39; --hair:rgba(255,255,255,.10);
  --p1:#3987e5; --p2:#d95926; --good:#0ca30c;
  --warnbg:rgba(250,178,25,.12); --warnink:#fab219;
  --chip:#333330; --live:rgba(57,135,229,.14);
}}
*{box-sizing:border-box;margin:0;padding:0}
body{background:var(--page);color:var(--ink);
  font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,"Segoe UI",sans-serif;line-height:1.45;
  padding:0 16px 56px;-webkit-font-smoothing:antialiased}
.wrap{max-width:980px;margin:0 auto}
.serif{font-family:Georgia,"Iowan Old Style","Times New Roman",serif}

/* ---------- site chrome ---------- */
.topbar{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;
  padding:14px 0 12px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);font-size:12px}
.monogram{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;
  text-transform:uppercase;font-size:12.5px;color:var(--ink)}
.nav{display:flex;gap:18px;color:var(--muted)}
.nav a{color:var(--muted);text-decoration:none}
.nav a.on{color:var(--ink);font-weight:600;border-bottom:2px solid var(--p1);padding-bottom:2px}
.nav .soon{opacity:.55}

/* ---------- masthead ---------- */
.masthead{text-align:center;padding:34px 0 0}
.eyebrow{font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.30em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted)}
.wordmark{font-family:Georgia,"Iowan Old Style",serif;font-weight:700;
  font-size:clamp(40px,7.5vw,62px);letter-spacing:-.015em;line-height:1;margin:12px 0 14px}
.edition{display:flex;justify-content:center;gap:14px;flex-wrap:wrap;
  font-size:11.5px;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted);
  border-top:1px solid var(--rule2);border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule2);
  padding:9px 0;margin-bottom:22px}
.standfirst{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:17.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--ink2);
  max-width:70ch;margin:0 auto 24px;text-align:center}
.standfirst b{color:var(--ink)}

/* ---------- blocks ---------- */
.block{background:var(--surface);border:1px solid var(--hair);border-radius:12px;
  padding:14px 18px;margin-bottom:20px}
.block h2{font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;
  color:var(--muted);margin-bottom:8px}
.wx .venue{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;font-size:15px}
.wx .where{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);margin-left:8px}
.wx .wxline{font-size:14px;color:var(--ink2);margin-top:2px}
.wx .impact{font-size:12.5px;color:var(--muted);font-style:italic;margin-top:6px}
.recap{font-size:14px;color:var(--ink2)}
.recap b{color:var(--ink)}

.sectionhead{display:flex;align-items:baseline;gap:12px;margin:34px 0 16px}
.sectionhead .t{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted)}
.sectionhead .line{flex:1;height:1px;background:var(--rule2)}

/* ---------- item cards ---------- */
.card{background:var(--surface);border:1px solid var(--hair);border-radius:14px;
  padding:20px 24px 18px;margin-bottom:22px}
.card-top{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;gap:8px 11px;margin-bottom:14px}
.itemno{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:12px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.10em;
  color:var(--muted);font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.chip{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.07em;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:999px;
  background:var(--chip);color:var(--ink2)}
.chip.atp{background:rgba(42,120,214,.12)} .chip.wta{background:rgba(235,104,52,.12)}
@media (prefers-color-scheme:dark){.chip.atp{background:rgba(57,135,229,.20)}.chip.wta{background:rgba(217,89,38,.20)}}
.event{font-size:13px;color:var(--ink2)}
.when{margin-left:auto;font-size:12.5px;font-weight:600;color:var(--ink)}

.players{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr auto 1fr;align-items:start;gap:10px;margin-bottom:15px}
.player{min-width:0}.player.right{text-align:right}
.pname{font-family:Georgia,"Iowan Old Style",serif;font-size:21px;font-weight:700;
  display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;letter-spacing:-.01em}
.player.right .pname{flex-direction:row-reverse}
.dot{width:9px;height:9px;border-radius:50%;flex:0 0 auto}
.dot.p1{background:var(--p1)}.dot.p2{background:var(--p2)}
.pmeta{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:3px}
.vs{font-size:11px;font-weight:700;color:var(--muted);padding-top:8px;letter-spacing:.1em}

.prob-label{display:flex;justify-content:space-between;font-size:13px;font-weight:700;margin-bottom:5px}
.prob-bar{display:flex;gap:2px;height:13px;border-radius:4px;overflow:hidden;background:var(--page)}
.prob-bar .seg1{background:var(--p1)}.prob-bar .seg2{background:var(--p2)}
.prob-note{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:5px}

.grid3{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1.05fr 1.45fr 1fr;gap:22px;margin-top:18px}
@media(max-width:780px){.grid3{grid-template-columns:1fr}.when{margin-left:0;width:100%}}
.sec h3{font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;
  color:var(--muted);margin-bottom:9px;padding-bottom:5px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule)}
.h2h-head{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:15px;font-weight:700;margin-bottom:6px}
.h2h-list{list-style:none;font-size:12.5px;color:var(--ink2)}
.h2h-list li{padding:4px 0;border-bottom:1px dashed var(--rule)}
.h2h-list li:last-child{border-bottom:none}
.h2h-list .who{font-weight:600;color:var(--ink)}
.surface-tag{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;color:var(--muted);text-transform:uppercase;letter-spacing:.05em}
.h2h-foot{font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:7px}

table.form{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12.5px}
table.form th,table.form td{padding:5px 6px;text-align:right;font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
table.form th{font-weight:600;color:var(--muted);font-size:11.5px}
table.form td.rowlab,table.form th.rowlab{text-align:left;color:var(--ink2);font-weight:400;font-variant-numeric:normal}
table.form thead th{border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule2)}
table.form tbody tr{border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule)}
table.form tbody tr:last-child{border-bottom:none}
table.form .colname{color:var(--ink);font-weight:700}
table.form tr.subhead td{text-align:left;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.13em;
  text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted);padding-top:11px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule2)}
table.form tr.surf-live td{background:var(--live)}
table.form tr.surf-live td.rowlab{font-weight:600;color:var(--ink)}
.tbl-note{font-size:11.5px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:8px;line-height:1.5}

.form-dots{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:4px;margin:2px 0 10px}
.form-dots .lab{font-size:11px;color:var(--muted);margin-right:4px;min-width:84px}
.fd{width:16px;height:16px;border-radius:50%;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:700;
  display:inline-flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;color:#fff}
.fd.w{background:var(--good)}.fd.l{background:var(--rule2);color:var(--ink)}
.dots-note{font-size:11px;color:var(--muted)}

.note{font-size:12.5px;color:var(--ink2);padding:5px 0}
.note b{color:var(--ink)}
.flag{display:flex;gap:8px;align-items:flex-start;background:var(--warnbg);border-radius:8px;
  padding:8px 10px;margin-bottom:8px;font-size:12.5px;color:var(--ink2)}
.flag .ic{flex:0 0 auto;font-weight:700;color:var(--warnink)}
.flag b{color:var(--ink)}

.assessment{font-size:14px;color:var(--ink2);margin-top:15px;padding-top:13px;border-top:1px solid var(--rule)}
.assessment .lbl{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;
  color:var(--muted);display:block;margin-bottom:4px}

table.excl{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12.5px}
table.excl td{padding:7px 8px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);vertical-align:top;color:var(--ink2)}
table.excl tr:last-child td{border-bottom:none}

footer{margin-top:34px;padding-top:18px;border-top:1px solid var(--rule2);
  font-size:12px;color:var(--muted);line-height:1.65}
footer b{color:var(--ink2)}
footer a{color:var(--ink2)}
.colophon{margin-top:20px;padding-top:14px;border-top:1px solid var(--rule);
  display:flex;justify-content:space-between;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:8px;
  font-size:11px;letter-spacing:.10em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted)}

/* ---------- narrow screens (must stay last to win the cascade) ---------- */
@media(max-width:620px){
  body{padding:0 13px 44px}
  .standfirst{text-align:left;font-size:16.5px}
  .edition{gap:5px 12px;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.10em}
  .card{padding:17px 16px 15px}
  .players{grid-template-columns:1fr;gap:3px}
  .player.right{text-align:left}
  .player.right .pname{flex-direction:row}
  .pname{font-size:19px}
  .vs{padding:7px 0 3px;font-size:10px}
  .grid3{gap:18px}
  .arch td,.arch th{padding:11px 6px}
  .arch .no{width:34px}
}

/* ---------- archive ---------- */
.arch{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse}
.arch td,.arch th{padding:14px 10px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);vertical-align:top;text-align:left}
.arch th{font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted);font-weight:700;
  border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule2)}
.arch .no{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;color:var(--muted);font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;width:56px}
.arch .dt{white-space:nowrap}
.arch .dt a{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:16px;font-weight:700;color:var(--ink);text-decoration:none}
.arch .dt a:hover{text-decoration:underline}
.arch .meta{font-size:11.5px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:2px}
.arch .head{font-size:13px;color:var(--ink2)}
.tag{font-size:10px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:2px 7px;
  border-radius:999px;background:var(--chip);color:var(--muted);white-space:nowrap}
/* ---------- prose (methods) ---------- */
.prose{max-width:72ch}
.prose h2{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:23px;margin:32px 0 10px;letter-spacing:-.01em}
.prose h3{font-size:11px;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted);margin:22px 0 8px}
.prose p{font-size:14.5px;color:var(--ink2);margin-bottom:13px}
.prose ul{margin:0 0 14px 18px}
.prose li{font-size:14.5px;color:var(--ink2);margin-bottom:7px}
.prose b{color:var(--ink)}
.prose code{font-size:13px;background:var(--chip);padding:1px 5px;border-radius:4px}
.score{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:12.5px;margin-top:4px}
.score th{font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.12em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--muted);
  text-align:left;font-weight:700;padding:0 8px 6px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule2)}
.score td{padding:7px 8px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--rule);vertical-align:top;color:var(--ink2)}
.score tr:last-child td{border-bottom:none}
.score .no{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;color:var(--muted);width:30px}
.score .mt{white-space:nowrap;color:var(--ink)}
.score .pc{font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;white-space:nowrap;color:var(--muted)}
.score b{color:var(--ink)}
.res{font-size:9.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;
  padding:1px 6px;border-radius:999px;margin-left:5px;white-space:nowrap}
.res.fav{background:var(--chip);color:var(--muted)}
.res.under{background:rgba(42,120,214,.13);color:var(--p1)}
.res.wo{background:var(--warnbg);color:var(--warnink)}
@media (prefers-color-scheme:dark){.res.under{background:rgba(57,135,229,.20)}}
.scintro{font-size:13.5px;color:var(--ink2);margin-bottom:10px}
.scintro b{color:var(--ink)}
.scnote{font-size:12.5px;color:var(--muted);margin-top:11px;line-height:1.6}
.scnote b{color:var(--ink2)}
.lede{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:18px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--ink2);margin-bottom:8px}
.pagehead{padding:30px 0 6px}
.pagehead h1{font-family:Georgia,serif;font-size:38px;letter-spacing:-.02em;margin-bottom:8px}

/* ---------- Elo comparison (added 21 August) ----------
   The caret sits above the probability bar at the position Elo gives the
   left-hand player, so market and model can be read against each other at a
   glance. .prob-bar has overflow:hidden, hence the outer .probwrap. */
.probwrap{position:relative;padding-top:9px}
.elo-mark{position:absolute;top:0;width:0;height:0;margin-left:-5px;
  border-left:5px solid transparent;border-right:5px solid transparent;
  border-top:6px solid var(--ink);opacity:.75}
.elo-cmp{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:center;gap:9px;margin-top:9px;
  padding:7px 10px;border-radius:8px;background:var(--chip);font-size:12px;color:var(--ink2)}
.elo-cmp .lbl{font-size:9.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;
  color:var(--muted);white-space:nowrap}
.elo-cmp .v{font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums}
.elo-cmp .v b{color:var(--ink)}
.elo-gap{margin-left:auto;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.06em;
  text-transform:uppercase;padding:2px 8px;border-radius:999px;
  background:var(--rule);color:var(--muted);white-space:nowrap}
.elo-gap.wide{background:var(--warnbg);color:var(--warnink)}
table.form td .sub{color:var(--muted);font-size:11px;margin-left:3px}
.nothing{font-size:13px;color:var(--ink2)}

/* ---------- source labels (added 23 August) ----------
   Two different probabilities sit on every card. They are labelled so the
   reader can tell which is the betting market and which is the model. */
.linelab{font-size:9.5px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;
  color:var(--muted);margin-bottom:5px}
.linelab .expl{font-weight:400;letter-spacing:.01em;text-transform:none;font-size:11.5px}
.elo-cmp .lbl .expl{font-weight:400;letter-spacing:.01em;text-transform:none;font-size:11.5px}
.elo-cmp .none{color:var(--muted);font-style:italic}

/* ---------- finals get a distinguished card ---------- */
.card.isfinal{position:relative;overflow:hidden}
.card.isfinal::before{content:"";position:absolute;left:0;right:0;top:0;height:3px;
  background:linear-gradient(90deg,var(--p1),var(--p2))}
.chip.final{background:var(--warnbg);color:var(--warnink)}
@media(max-width:620px){.elo-gap{margin-left:0}}